My March 2010 NL East calls (see sidebar) are looking remarkably prescient, no?
Mind you, the Braves are still in first, and, by Baseball Prospectus' lights, have about twice the chance of making (86.8%, v. 46.3%) the October Show, compared with the Phillies. But right now, pretty much everybody looks to be within six games or so of what I projected.
My calls/BP's current projections:
Phillies 91 wins/90
Braves 88/93
Marlins 83/81
Mets 79/81
Nats 68/74
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